Israel-Palestine Conflict
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As fears around Trump rise, the trends in Emerging Markets MMF and Gold diverge.
Amid expectations of Trump possibly returning to the White House, the 30-day correlation between Gold and the MSCI Emerging Markets MMF Index has dropped to its lowest point in nearly three years. Over the past three years, these two Assets have been positively correlated 86% of the time, but now they are experiencing a 30-day negative correlation, which has occurred for only the fifth time in three years.
Gold Price Surge Pushes Rolex to Raise Prices for Iconic Watches
The most bullish oil prices in four months! Traders focus on "Trump VS Iran".
Although oversupply puts pressure on the oil market in 2025, investors are still preparing for upside risks, primarily influenced by Trump's stance on Iran after returning to the White House, as well as the ongoing geopolitical risks.
Will Gold continue to shine in 2025? A review from five key dimensions.
In 2024, there will be few types of investments that can outperform Gold, which is about to have its strongest year since 2010 and one of the largest annual increases in history. Many Gold bulls on Wall Street believe that the price of Gold is expected to rise further in 2025.
Gold prices have repeatedly reached historical highs, and gold companies are showing impressive performances while increasing reserves. The "long bull" trend still exists | Year-end review.
① This year's gold prices have repeatedly hit new highs, performing particularly impressively; ② Among A-share gold companies, SD GOLD, Zijin Mining Group, Shanjin International, and * Special Treat Zhongrun are actively increasing their reserves; ③ Many industry insiders believe that the trend of a "long bull" market for gold still exists; however, the risks of short-term fluctuations cannot be overlooked.
Securing America's Critical Minerals
Why Trump's Return To Office Could Drive Gold Demand In 2025
What does the Federal Reserve's "Skip" mean for the market?
Citi Research found that during the period when the Federal Reserve pauses interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market usually performs well, but the sustainability of the rise depends on whether economic weakness leads to a restart of policy easing; U.S. Treasury rates usually rise at the pause or end of the cycle; for the dollar, if the interest rate cuts are only paused, the dollar performs laterally, if it is the last interest rate cut, the dollar will rise; after the pause, regardless of whether the easing cycle continues, Gold prices usually rise.
Express News | United States API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Change for Dec.13 Is -4.7M, Lower Than the Previous Value of 0.499M. The Forecast Was -1.85M.
Morgan Stanley: The undervalued "Gold Triad" of China.
Morgan Stanley pointed out that against the backdrop of intensified geopolitical risks, China gold will benefit from market risk aversion sentiment and be favored by Chinese investors, while expectations of yuan volatility also provide support for gold prices to rise. Zijin Mining Group, SD GOLD, and ZHAOJIN MINING are undervalued in the market, and their production is expected to grow significantly in the next five years. It is anticipated that gold prices will reach $2,850 per ounce in the second quarter of 2025.
IEA Monthly Report: Even if OPEC+ delays production increases, there will still be an oversupply of oil next year!
The IEA stated that if OPEC+ implements the production recovery plan starting in April, the Global market will face a surplus of 1.4 million barrels per day. The IEA has raised the forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 by 90,000 barrels to 1.1 million barrels, mainly due to the economic stimulus measures recently announced by China.
ING: Next year, the CSI Commodity Equity Index will experience a "Put year," while Gold will still shine!
① ING expects that the Global situation will put pressure on the Energy and CSI Commodity Equity Index markets, but the outlook for Gold remains bright. ② The report points out that Trump's tariff plans may disrupt the oil, Metal, and Agriculture markets; ③ However, ING predicts that the average Gold price will rise to $2,760 per ounce by 2025, primarily influenced by central bank purchases of Gold and the appeal of Gold as a safe-haven asset.
Will gold continue to shine next year? Goldman Sachs is listed as one of the “three major catalysts”: see you at $3,000!
① Goldman Sachs expects the price of gold to rise 11% to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025; ② Goldman Sachs believes that interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, increased gold purchases by central banks, and rising geopolitical uncertainty are the three major factors driving the price of gold higher.
Bank of America's outlook for the bulk market in 2025: Tariffs cast a shadow over the global market, crude oil enters an oversupply cycle, with gold shining alone, soaring straight to $3,000.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects that due to a significant increase in production from non-OPEC countries, coupled with the possibility of OPEC+ releasing more supply, the crude oil market may enter a surplus cycle, with the average annual price of Brent crude oil expected to be $65 per barrel. Basic metals are experiencing price fluctuations amid differentiated supply and demand. Driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and risk aversion sentiment, gold remains one of the most attractive precious metals in 2025.
Trump's tariff plan angers many? US oil industry warns: rbob gasoline costs rise exacerbating consumer burden
① President-elect Trump of the usa threatens to impose a 25% tariff on products from Mexico and Canada, causing concerns in the oil rbob gasoline industry; ② U.S. refineries highly rely on crude oil imports. The American Petroleum Institute warns that tariffs will raise refining costs and gasoline prices, exacerbating consumer burden; ③ Analysts believe the likelihood of Trump implementing the tariff plan is small.
French miners lament that the profitability of nickel mining business cannot be achieved without china technology and equipment.
① The multinational mining giant Ehmann stated that western companies cannot make a profit in the nickel mining business in Indonesia without relying on china's technology, equipment, and management experience; ② Ehmann and BASF have canceled the 2.6 billion dollar nickel-cobalt refining plant project in Indonesia due to it being 'economically unfeasible'; ③ Ehmann is collaborating with China’s Qingshan Holding to operate the nickel mine in Weda Bay, with the CEO stating that china's technology, expertise, and equipment are key to competitiveness.
Gold will continue to shine! Goldman Sachs: it will reach 3000 dollars next year, with global central banks being the 'main driver'.
① Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices may reach $3,000 per ounce next year, as central banks around the world continue to buy gold in large quantities; ② the firm also believes that gold is the preferred trade for combating inflation and geopolitical issues in 2025.
The gold price has returned to $2700, and China Construction Bank continues to raise the entry threshold for individual gold rsp, conservative and cautious customers will no longer be able to invest in this product.
On the evening of November 22, China Construction Bank Corporation announced that starting from tomorrow, it will adjust the risk rating of the Easy Gold (physical gold rsp) product to 'medium risk.' Conservative and cautious customers will not be able to carry out the aforementioned 'Easy Gold' corresponding trades.
Spot gold briefly rose above the $2,700 mark as the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine highlighted the appeal of safe-haven assets.
① The spot gold price is expected to achieve the largest weekly increase in over a year this week, reaching a daily high of $2700.21 per ounce; ② The situation between Russia and Ukraine has become complicated, with Russia testing a "new type of medium-range hypersonic missile"; ③ Global central bank bids have driven gold prices to rise more than 30% since the beginning of the year.
Gold prices have regained upward momentum! Is there still upward potential in the market? How should gold retail brands respond? | Industry dynamics
① After six consecutive declines in spot gold prices, which created the largest weekly drop in three years, this week it regained its upward momentum; ② The listing prices of pure gold trinkets in most domestic brand gold stores are once again nearing 800 yuan per gram, and high gold prices have weakened consumer enthusiasm for purchasing gold; ③ Chow Tai Seng jewellery adopts a strategy to increase low average transaction price and emphasize strong design products; Chow Tai Fook has launched differentiated product series such as Chuanfu and the Palace Museum, which has boosted sales.