Companies in the U.S. stock market with core businesses deeply linked to the copper industry chain.
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Will copper prices soar in the long term? BHP Group Ltd: The AI wave will intensify the copper shortage.
①Although the global copper market is currently in a phase of weak demand, mining giant BHP Group Ltd. warns that future copper demand will largely skyrocket due to the artificial intelligence wave; ②BHP Group Ltd. warns that copper is a key metal in the transition to clean energy, and the development of artificial intelligence will exacerbate the copper shortage issue.
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Will there be an oversupply of HBM next year? Institutions warn that half of the capacity cannot be sold.
①The securities department Exane BNP Paribas under the French bank Paris Bank significantly downgraded Micron's rating, directly 'cut in half' the target price. ②It pointed out that by 2025, the HBM capacity will be about 0.4 million pieces, while the demand for the same period will be 0.168 million pieces, even less than half of the supply. ③As one of the main customers of HBM, nvidia's GPU demand will also have a certain impact on the HBM demand.
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Technology stocks led the S&P to four consecutive gains, Oracle reached a new high after hours, the US dollar and US bonds fell, gold hit a new high, and commodities rose.
In August, the PPI in the United States showed a cooling down of inflation, and the market slightly raised its bets on the Fed's aggressive interest rate cuts. US stocks rose together, with Nvidia up nearly 2%, while NIO Inc and XPeng fell more than 5%. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the second time this year, but maintained a restrictive policy. European bonds fell, and the euro rebounded from its four-week low. Commodities rose across the board, with US oil briefly rising by 3.7%, gold reaching a new high with a nearly 2% increase, palladium rising by over 4%, and copper experiencing its largest two-month increase.
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Jeff Currie, a veteran of the commodity for 30 years, believes that the current copper price has a range of 8500 at the bottom and 9500 at the top. Whether it can break through this range depends crucially on china.
Currie said in mid-May that copper was the most attractive trade he had seen in his 30-year career, but three and a half months later, the copper price on the London Metal Exchange fell below $9,000 per ton. Currie believes that the current decline in copper prices is mainly due to the simultaneous increase in copper inventories in Asia and copper exports from China.
Freeport McMoRan Raised to Buy at UBS on 'Compelling' Copper Outlook
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