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The dilemma of technology stocks: When the AI wave gradually recedes, are most people swimming naked?
Warren Buffett once said, "Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked." And now, as the wave of AI recedes, people can't help but notice that there seems to be no shortage of "naked swimmers" in the technology industry.
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Goldman Sachs: US technology stocks have no "valuation risk", but have "concentration risk", and it is recommended to diversify investments.
Goldman Sachs believes that the fundamentals of technology stocks are strong, and the valuation of the AI industry is much lower than that of other bubble periods. However, the concentration of technology stocks is currently the highest in decades. In history, if other fast-growing companies emerge and outperform the market, the returns of leading companies usually turn negative.
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The technology stocks of the "Seven Sisters" are no longer prominent. In the second half of the year, small-cap stocks may take the lead.
A key indicator measuring the performance of small-cap companies in the United States in the second half of 2024 outperformed the Wall Street benchmark S&P 500 index, indicating a shift in market breadth to other sectors.
Is the current decline in the US stock market far from over? Wall Street analyst: It will drop at least until early October.
Jeff DeGraaf, founder and technical strategist of Renaissance Macro Research, said that the current stock market downturn in the United States is clearly not over. He predicts that there may be further weakness in the U.S. stock market until the end of September, and it may spread to early October.
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