Is there any possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut? Tonight, the night of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will determine everything!
Last Friday's US non-farm night has made the expectation of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this month the mainstream in the current market. Whether the tilted expectation of an interest rate cut will continue until the Fed's interest rate decision day next week remains to be seen. Tonight could be the last "decisive moment"...
Bond market indicators sound the alarm: inflation may fall below the Federal Reserve's target.
The 10-year breakeven inflation rate has fallen to 2.02%, the lowest since 2021, indicating that investors expect the 10-year average inflation to be below the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Wall Street strategists believe that this indicates investors are concerned about the Federal Reserve's slow monetary easing actions.
Financial markets closely watch Harris's first direct confrontation with Trump, a comprehensive look at the focus of stocks, exchange rates, and bonds.
The stock market is concerned about tax and tariff plans; the bond market is concerned about fiscal plans; the foreign exchange market is watching Trump's tariff comments and whether they involve pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates more aggressively.
Treasurys' Rally Into Fed Rate Cuts Is More Pronounced Versus Previous Cycles -- Market Talk
Treasury Yields Rise Ahead of Final Inflation Prints Before Fed Meeting
The rate cut came too late! Bond traders believe that the Federal Reserve is severely lagging behind.
Last Friday, the bond market sent out several warning signals of potential economic recession, one of which was the changing relationship between the 2-year and 10-year US Treasury bond yields.
Is the 'political honeymoon period' over? Latest polls: Harris' support rate has stagnated, lagging behind Trump.
1. According to a poll released by the new york times and Siena College on September 8, Trump leads Harris by a slight margin of 48% to 47%; 2. This is the first time in nearly a month that Trump has led Harris in a mainstream poll.
The Bond Market Just Flashed a Reliable Recession Signal. Don't Panic.
Treasuries Slip With Traders Divided on Pace of Fed Rate Cuts
Getting attention! The options market is currently focused on the Fed's interest rate cut.
The fiercely competitive presidential election has gradually faded from the market's view, and investors' attention is now focused on the Federal Reserve meeting on September 18th.
When the long positions of US stocks start to 'surrender': Is Wall Street really scared this time?
①The worrisome data that the bond and csi commodity equity index markets had long ago 'predicted' finally awakened risk asset traders from their 'dream' last week, with US stocks posting their worst performance since the 2023 regional banks crisis; ②The well-known financial blog website Zerohedge indicated that the stock market's recent plunge may be even worse than the Black Monday of August.
The suspense of the Fed's interest rate cut in September may have to wait until the last moment to be revealed! The U.S. stock market wants to see a 25 basis point cut.
The latest employment data did not resolve the market's debate over the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut in September; however, the employment report did intensify concerns about a cooling labor market.
usa Qualcomm inflation whistle-blower: non-farm report is not particularly bad, 50% probability of a 25/50 basis point rate cut on September.
Summers said that the August non-farm employment report in the United States was not particularly bad. The numbers in the non-farm report definitely didn't show any obvious weakness, but if there are concerns about the recent trend in statistics, they definitely did not provide evidence of a healthy economy.
Goldman Sees Fed Base Case for 25bp Rate Cut in Speeches by Bank Leaders Waller, Williams
Treasury Yields Fall After August Jobs Report, US10Y Hits Lowest Level Since June 2023
Express News | US Aug. Non-Farm Payrolls +142000 Vs +160000 Forecast, Prior +89000; US Aug. Unemployment Rate 4.2% Vs 4.2% Forecast, Prior 4.3%
Just finished directing 'Black Monday' last month! How will the financial markets spend Nonfarm Night tonight?
On this big day, which can be considered a "battle of the king of stocks, bonds, and the foreign exchange market," what kind of answer will the August non-farm data give to the market? Will the data performance be as "shocking" as last month? How will the markets of various asset classes perform tonight?
Paulson, a potential finance minister candidate for Trump, said the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates too slowly, and rates should be lowered to 2.5% by the end of 2025.
Potential Treasury Secretary nominee Paulson, a billionaire from the USA, stated that the rise in real interest rates indicates that the Federal Reserve is behind in easing monetary policy, and by the end of next year, "my best estimate is that the federal fund interest rate will be around 3%, or perhaps 2.5%."
Don't delay, Fed! Even the economists at Morgan Stanley have changed their attitude: a big move in September is necessary.
JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist Michael Feroli recently stated that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting; Although inflation remains slightly above target, the unemployment rate may already be slightly higher than what they consider to be full employment.
U.S. Treasury Yields Could Extend Fall If Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise -- Market Talk