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JPMorgan Newsroom
Options Market Statistics: Tesla Shares Bounce Back as Sales in China Hit Record High in 2024, Options Pop
Overview of views: Federal Reserve governors are cautious about inflation, and the AI boom seems far from over.
Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Tom Barkin stated that he believes the current interest rates set by the Federal Reserve remain sufficiently restrictive to bring down the inflation rate by 2025. Committee member Kugler hopes to see evidence that shows inflation is back on a downward path. UBS Group mentioned that stocks of companies related to AI have been driving the market higher for years, and this trend may continue. JPMorgan suggested increasing exposure to the yen to guard against the risk of an unexpected slowdown in the USA economy. Federal Reserve's Barkin: Optimistic outlook for 2025, inflation will decrease according to Barkin on Friday in Maryland.
JPMorgan Options Spot-On: On January 3rd, 498.73K Contracts Were Traded, With 827.15K Open Interest
New York foreign exchange market: Bloomberg's USD recorded a weekly increase, with the Canadian dollar underperforming Other G-10 currencies.
The Bloomberg USD Index slightly declined on Friday, following a report indicating an increase in a measure of manufacturing activity for the second consecutive month in December. The Canadian dollar lagged behind other G10 currencies, while Sweden performed the best. The Bloomberg USD spot exchange rates index fell by 0.2%, with a cumulative increase of 0.7% for the week, marking the fifth consecutive week of gains. The index rose by 8% in 2024, partly due to market speculation that Trump's policies will stimulate inflation and economic growth. Win Thin, Global Head of Market Strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, noted that the manufacturing sector appears to be in good shape.
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JPMorgan recommends increasing exposure to the yen to hedge against risks in the USA economy.
JPMorgan suggests increasing yen exposure to guard against the risk of unexpected slowdowns in the USA economy. Although JPMorgan's baseline expectation is that the dollar will strengthen further in the first quarter of 2025, "optimism regarding the USA is already well reflected in the prices, even though the fundamental details have softened," wrote strategists such as Meera Chandan in a report on Friday. "This is an evolving risk factor that needs attention for our bullish view on the dollar, but going long on yen appears more attractive; increase yen exposure." The strategists stated, "One way to guard against the risk of unexpected slowdown in USA data is to..."
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