The U.S. Elections Will Impact the Direction of History. What Else to Watch Beyond the Presidential Race?
Bond-market Trump Trades Suddenly at Risk Amid Tight Election Race
11/5 [Strengths and Weaknesses Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Factors] Bullish factors include Chicago Nikkei futures rising (38375, +255 compared to Osaka), USA crude oil futures rising (71.47, +1.98), decrease in USA long-term interest rates, expectations of inflation stabilization in the USA, active share buybacks, and a request from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for improving corporate value. Bearish factors include the Nikkei Average declining (38053.67, -1027.58), the NY Dow Jones Industrial Average falling (41794.60, -257.59), the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping (18179.98, -59.93), and 1 dollar equals 152 yen.
Election-Week Fed Meeting Won't Give Markets the Roadmap They Want
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equity. goldman sachs trading department predicts that in the market's decline, the E-mini s&p 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will have an outflow of $0.94 billion in the case of an increase.
Will the US stock market hit a new high after the election? Goldman Sachs: FOMO mentality helps, S&P is expected to reach 6100 points by the end of the year.
Morgan Stanley's Chief US Stock Strategist Wilson predicts that the S&P will reach a highest of 6100 points by the end of this year, equivalent to a 6.5% increase compared to last Friday's close. At the same time, he warns that due to the lack of clear catalysts, the enthusiasm of the US stock market may fade as 2025 approaches. He believes that the most favorable outcome for the stock market is Trump's re-election and a divided Congress, as markets favor uncertainty.
