SDOW241122P13000
- 0.50
- 0.000.00%
ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 ETF Newsroom
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
Global Fund Managers Changed Their Views After Trump Got Elected. Here's How
Late night broadcasting! Powell: The economy is strong, the Federal Reserve does not need to rush to cut interest rates, there is time to understand the impact of Trump's policies.
Powell stated that labor market indicators are returning to more normal levels consistent with the Federal Reserve's full employment target; inflation will continue to decline towards the target of 2%, although there may be occasional fluctuations; the interest rate path is not preset and depends on data and economic outlook. If the data tells us to slow down rate cuts, slowing down is the wise choice; Congress generally believes that the Fed's independence is very important, concluding prematurely on the policies of the Trump administration. The Fed will act cautiously before policy is more certain; the impact of AI may be later and greater than we expect.
Is it stable? The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next month has reached 80%.
① Last night, the completely market-expected usa October CPI data did not cause much of a stir in the market; ② However, the data performance still boosted market confidence in the Fed's interest rate cut next month, and stimulated a rebound in short-term US government bonds.
Is the continued interest rate cut stable in December? Federal Reserve officials say inflation is moving in the right direction.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari expressed confidence in the direction of inflation shortly after the CPI was announced, saying that it is moving in the right direction and that more time is needed to analyze the data. Dallas Federal Reserve President Logan stated that more rate cuts are likely in the future, but it is best to proceed with caution due to the risks of inflation caused by demand and geopolitical factors. It is said that she prefers to slow down rate cuts sooner rather than later. St. Louis Federal Reserve President Mester mentioned that if inflation continues to decline, rate cuts should be gradual, and monetary policy should remain "slightly restrictive." Kansas City Federal Reserve President Schmid stated that it is uncertain how much rate cuts will be needed in the future.
USA Stock Market Preview | All three equity index futures fell together, with the US October CPI released tonight.
On November 13th (Wednesday) pre-market trading, the three major US equity index futures all fell.
Trillion dollars！This year, global etf set a record for attracting funds.
As of October 31, the net inflow of funds into global etf this year has reached 1.4 trillion USD, exceeding the record of 1.33 trillion for the entire year of 2021. Demand for fixed income, csi commodity equity index, and stocks etfs is booming, with an inflow of 11.7 billion USD into china stocks etf in October (etfs listed overseas in china), more than double the peak in June 2022.
Can the Federal Reserve cut interest rates next month? The crucial test is coming tonight.
As the first major data after the US presidential election, the US October CPI report, which will be released at 21:30 on Wednesday Beijing time, is likely to have a crucial impact on the future policy path of the Federal Reserve; This has also prompted some Wall Street insiders to ponder whether the next market trade theme will gradually shift from the glamorous 'Trump trade' of the past week to the interest rate perspective surrounding the Federal Reserve rate cut process...
US stock investors "fasten your seat belts"! Morgan Stanley: Three major risks may disrupt the "Trump trade".
①Morgan Stanley outlined three major risks that could disrupt the 'Trump trade' in a recent report. ②Firstly, a significant increase in US Treasury yields could trigger anxiety among stock investors. Secondly, a strong US dollar could mean trouble for large cap stocks. Thirdly, stock prices are overvalued.
Don't Let Election Outcomes Drive Investing Decisions, Wells Fargo Says, After Trump's Win
Lock in the finance minister target this week? The media reported that Trump tends to choose Wall Street veterans.
Media reports that former Soros Fund manager Scott Bessent, hedge fund tycoon Paulson, and former U.S. Trade Representative Lighthizer are all possible candidates for the Secretary of the Treasury; the Treasury Secretary interviews will be held at the Mar-a-Lago estate, with an expected five to eight candidates, each presenting their situation with a PPT demonstration and indicating their recommenders, for Trump to assess how important this person is to his inner circle.
U.S. stocks close: S&P index breaks through the key level of 6000 points for the first time, with Tesla and cryptos concept stocks soaring together.
① Most of the china concept stocks are up, nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose by 0.59%; ② MicroStrategy bought another 0.0272 million bitcoin; ③ Musk played a key role in the formation of Trump's future team; ④ US regulatory authorities have launched an investigation into honda motor.
Trump 2.0 is coming! As the US stock market soars, analysts warn: "Bearish" should not be ignored.
①After the outcome of the USA election has been determined, the three major stock indexes in the USA hit historic highs; ②Wall Street analysts say that based on Trump's previous promises of tax cuts and relaxed regulations among other positions, there may be a more positive prospect for growth policies for USA companies. ③However, analysts also warn that the long-term bearish threat of Trump 2.0 on the USA stock market still exists.
Year-end rebound has already begun! Trump has completely ignited Wall Street sentiment, various funds will flock to buy US stocks.
Trump's victory in the presidential election caused the stock market to soar, issuing a buy signal for rule-based investment funds, adding momentum to the rise in the stock market.
Wall Street consensus: U.S. stocks can soar again "wildly" before the end of the year, just waiting for the results of the election to be announced!
①Wall Street strategists predict that the results of the usa election will set the foundation for a stock market rebound; ②Jefferies financial strategist said, the stock market weakness in the week before the vote is usually a sign of strong performance in the following month, and last week's plunge may be a call signal.
Goldman Sachs top traders: 'Fasten your seat belts' on election day, any clear outcome will greatly impact US stock market volatility.
Goldman Sachs hedge fund research director Pasquariello said that in recent weeks, the trading community has significantly reduced risks, with substantial reductions in positions in the macro area, most notably in the position of US interest rates; if investors quickly catch up with the market trends brought by the initial election results, he will closely monitor the bond market.
Election Day Kicks off as Market Volume and Liquidity Take Center Stage
Taking history as a lesson: After the ultimate two options for the U.S. president, where will the U.S. stock market go?
①Taking a lesson from history, the USA stock market usually rises after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term fluctuations first; ②This means investors should not expect the USA stock market to immediately rise on Wednesday or the following days.
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equity. goldman sachs trading department predicts that in the market's decline, the E-mini s&p 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will have an outflow of $0.94 billion in the case of an increase.