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The "debt market storm" has triggered global panic, but the pain may have just begun.
JPMorgan pointed out that factors such as de-globalization, population aging, and increased spending on climate change will drive the 10-year Treasury yield to maintain a level above 4.5% in the long term. Peters from PGIM Fixed Income stated that if under such circumstances the 10-year yield rises above 5%, he "would not be completely shocked at all."
The new U.S. Treasury Secretary's Hold Positions: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Bitcoin, Gold...
Bescent holds over 50 million dollars in S&P 500 and Chinaamc NASDAQ 100 ETF(QDII), between 0.25 million and 0.5 million dollars in iShares Bitcoin REITs ETF, as well as over 50 million dollars in US government bonds. Additionally, it includes various assets such as artworks, antiques, farmland, and luxury homes, with total assets amounting to at least 0.521 billion dollars.
Zhao Yin International: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates a total of 50 basis points in June and September.
Zhao Yin International predicts that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts in January, March, and May.
U.S Economy, Liquidity Injections, and How They Might Help Crypto & Bitcoin
As US bond yields surge, the correct approach may be to increase the shareholding in US bond ETFs?
On Friday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, known as the "anchor of Global Asset pricing," surged to 4.79%, the highest level since October 2023.
Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 on the Edge: Key Support Levels Tested as Pullback Looms
Georgehx : What do you mean?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : JP Morgan and at least one other major bank are selling off while Treasury yields are falling. That tends to be a strong sign of flight to safety.
Georgehx Derpy Trades OP : You’ve got a valid point but I’m holding mainly bonds atm bcz of the volatility in market rn & bonds tend to rise when interest rates fall so doesn’t really matter 25 or 50 basis points, bonds esp longer ones will do well am I right to say that?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : The bond market is very complex, and so that is a very difficult question to answer. In most scenarios bonds will rally when or even in anticipation of rate cuts, but if there were ever a black swan event in which the Fed had to monetize our government's debt, long-term interest rates would likely skyrocket and bonds would depreciate quickly.