US10Y Flirts With 4.80%, US30Y Touches 5.00% After Hot December Jobs Report
Express News | The Yield on the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bond Rose to 5%, Marking Its Highest Level Since November 2023
Wall Street warns: If you don't want a big drop in U.S. stocks, tonight's non-farm payroll needs to be "just right."
Bank of America stated that only "Goldilocks" data can keep long-term interest rates below 5%, stabilize interest rate sensitivity, and prevent the Nasdaq's leadership from wavering. "Explosive" data could lead to a decline of about 4% in the S&P 500 Index to 5,666 points.
Further Selloff in U.S. Treasurys Seen as Buy Opportunity -- Market Talk
US December Job Cuts Rise 11% From Year Earlier, Challenger Report Says
Federal Reserve Watch for Jan. 9: Fed Speakers Emphasize Patient Approach to Further Rate Reductions
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Georgehx : What do you mean?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : JP Morgan and at least one other major bank are selling off while Treasury yields are falling. That tends to be a strong sign of flight to safety.
Georgehx Derpy Trades OP : You’ve got a valid point but I’m holding mainly bonds atm bcz of the volatility in market rn & bonds tend to rise when interest rates fall so doesn’t really matter 25 or 50 basis points, bonds esp longer ones will do well am I right to say that?
Derpy Trades OP Georgehx : The bond market is very complex, and so that is a very difficult question to answer. In most scenarios bonds will rally when or even in anticipation of rate cuts, but if there were ever a black swan event in which the Fed had to monetize our government's debt, long-term interest rates would likely skyrocket and bonds would depreciate quickly.