FOMC Members Signal Policy 'At or Near Peak' for Tightening Cycle
Wall Street Closes Mixed Amid Rising Treasury Yields And Tariff Speculation
Paul Krugman Thinks Bond Yields May Be Rising Due to an 'Insanity Premium'
U.S. stock market close: the three major indexes varied in performance; Huang Renxun's remarks caused a collapse in the Quantum Computing Sector.
① The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell by 0.67%, with most China Concept Stocks declining; ② Wildfires ravaged California, and Electrical Utilities provider Edison International fell by 10%; ③ Jensen Huang stated that a "very useful" quantum computer may take several decades to arrive; ④ Intel: will continue to focus on the independent graphics card market.
S&P 500 Positive for 'First Five Days,' Huang Sees Decades till Quantum | Wall Street Today
Fed Isn't Certain Where Interest Rates Will Head, Minutes Show. Inflation and Trump Are Concerns
Oak Tree Capital's Marks: New things are prone to bubbles, currently private equity buying S&P 500, with a 10-year yield of only ±2%.
Max recently released a memorandum titled "Revisiting the Bubble," stating that investors are currently betting on the leading high-tech companies to maintain their dominance. However, he believes that it is not easy to stay ahead, as new technologies and competitors can surpass existing market leaders at any time. When people assume that "things can only get better" and Buy based on that, the impact of negative news can be particularly severe. He specifically pointed out the frenzy over AI and how this positive sentiment may spread to other Technology sectors.
Wednesday Market Falls, Quantum Computing Pulls Back Hard on Treasury Yield Crunch | Live Stock
Fed's Waller Sees More Rate Cuts in 2025 -- Barrons.com
December ADP US Private Payrolls Rise Less Than Expected Ahead of Friday's BLS Data
US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Decline to 201K Vs. 218K Expected
Express News | USA Initial Jobless Claims 201K Vs 213K Est.; 211K Prior
Express News | US DEC ADP Employment Change 122K vs 140K Forecast, Prior 146K
US Morning News Call | Nvidia CEO's Remarks Trigger Pre-Market Plunge in Quantum Stocks
The three major U.S. stock index futures all turned to decline amid rumors of tariffs from Trump affecting risk appetite | Highlights for tonight.
① It is reported that Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to introduce tariffs; ② NASDAQ 100 Index futures dropped over 0.5% in pre-market trading; ③ Meta ended its fact-checking program to extend an olive branch to Trump; ④ The Indonesian government warned that if Apple does not comply with local investment regulations, it may face "sanctions" in the worst-case scenario.
Pre-Market Trading Key Points | Is Trump's tariff plan changing? The December "small non-farm" data will be announced soon.
The three major Equity Index futures in the USA all dropped, with Nasdaq futures down 0.6%, S&P 500 Index futures down 0.45%, and Dow futures down 0.29%.
Will the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes release tonight continue to signal a "hawkish" stance?
This meeting minutes focus on: the degree of divergence among Federal Reserve officials, the determination of the persistence of inflation and the weakness of the labor market, as well as discussions on the rise of neutral interest rates to a higher level. Additionally, the impact of Trump's policies and details related to balance sheet reduction are also worth noting.
Express News | Trump Considering National Economic Emergency
December US Nonfarm Payrolls Preview | Economic Data May Boost Asset Volatility
Howard Marks: Is there a bubble in the U.S. stock market now?
Max believes that the U.S. stock market may have some bubbles, but it is not out of control. The expected PE for the S&P 500 Index is 23.6 times, and compared to valuation parameters, a more effective way to determine bubbles is through psychological diagnosis. Currently, there is no talk from people saying 'there are no prices that are unreachable,' which is a clear indicator of irrational thinking and a sign of bubbles.