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Trump's election victory is in doubt! Hedge funds are shifting their focus and betting on a decline in the US dollar.
On Monday, the Bloomberg USD Index recorded its largest decline since August this year, with hedge funds buying call options on the Euro and Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in large quantities. Citigroup predicts that if Harris wins, the US dollar may drop by about 2%.
Learn from history: How will the U.S. stock market perform after the election?
History has shown that the US stock market usually rises after presidential elections, but first, one needs to be prepared for some short-term fluctuations.
The U.S. Elections Will Impact the Direction of History. What Else to Watch Beyond the Presidential Race?
Labor Conditions Are Cooling. What the Next President Will Face
Stock Index Futures Levels for the Election
The Top Three Stocks on the S&P 500 in October
Up 20% This Year. Does the S&P 500 Index Have More in the Tank for 2024?
Discussing further assistance or even a split plan, the USA is concerned that intel's troubles are far from over.
Concerns about intel at Capitol Hill in usa are growing day by day. Members of Congress have been secretly discussing how to further assist intel, one option is to merge intel's chip design business with competitors like AMD or Marvell.
The USA election day is approaching, the global market is holding its breath, Wall Street has entered a 'state of alert'!
The next steps of the US stock market depend on who wins the White House?
Facing the impact of election day: the usa stock, bond, and currency markets are entering a 'battle state'!
①As the polls continue to show intense competition in the usa presidential election, on the first trading day of the "super week" entering the election and the Fed interest rate decision, US stocks, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields have all fallen; ②At the same time, traders in various cross-asset fields have already entered the final preparation mode before election day...
Taking history as a lesson: After the ultimate two options for the U.S. president, where will the U.S. stock market go?
①Taking a lesson from history, the USA stock market usually rises after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term fluctuations first; ②This means investors should not expect the USA stock market to immediately rise on Wednesday or the following days.
Options Market Statistics: Palantir Stock Soars After Revenue Growth Beats Expectations; Options Pop
What will happen to the U.S. stock market with all kinds of outcomes tomorrow? This is goldman sachs's answer.
Goldman Sachs believes the most likely outcome is Harris's election with a divided Congress (40% probability), long-term growth/nasdaq/wind power/china/global export themes will outperform large cap, defensive stocks are better than cyclical stocks.
U.S. stocks will continue to bull run! Goldman Sachs: Driven by FOMO, the s&p 500 is expected to reach 6100 points by the end of the year.
① Morgan Stanley's Chief US Stock Strategist Mike Wilson believes that the s&p 500 index may continue to rise in the final stage of 2024; ② He expects the s&p 500 index to rise to a high of 6100 points; ③ However, Wilson also warns that, due to the lack of clear catalysts, this enthusiasm may fade with the arrival of 2025.
11/5 [Strengths and Weaknesses Materials]
[Bullish and Bearish Factors] Bullish factors include Chicago Nikkei futures rising (38375, +255 compared to Osaka), USA crude oil futures rising (71.47, +1.98), decrease in USA long-term interest rates, expectations of inflation stabilization in the USA, active share buybacks, and a request from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for improving corporate value. Bearish factors include the Nikkei Average declining (38053.67, -1027.58), the NY Dow Jones Industrial Average falling (41794.60, -257.59), the Nasdaq Composite Index dropping (18179.98, -59.93), and 1 dollar equals 152 yen.
Election-Week Fed Meeting Won't Give Markets the Roadmap They Want
US stocks closed: Trump, Harris concept stocks rose together, Chinese concept stocks remained stable and rose.
1. The market is filled with a wait-and-see attitude, with all three major indexes collectively falling. 2. Trump's media technology group rebounded after hitting bottom. 3. Photovoltaic and clean energy concept stocks strengthened collectively. 4. Reports claim that Nvidia will distribute Super Micro Computer orders to other suppliers.
Monday Market Moves Sideways, Election and FOMC in Sight | Wall Street Today
No matter who becomes president, goldman sachs trading department: regardless of the outcome, CTA will sell stocks this week.
Last week, CTA has already sold $8 billion worth of global equity. goldman sachs trading department predicts that in the market's decline, the E-mini s&p 500 index will experience an outflow of $11.2 billion, and will have an outflow of $0.94 billion in the case of an increase.
Will the US stock market hit a new high after the election? Goldman Sachs: FOMO mentality helps, S&P is expected to reach 6100 points by the end of the year.
Morgan Stanley's Chief US Stock Strategist Wilson predicts that the S&P will reach a highest of 6100 points by the end of this year, equivalent to a 6.5% increase compared to last Friday's close. At the same time, he warns that due to the lack of clear catalysts, the enthusiasm of the US stock market may fade as 2025 approaches. He believes that the most favorable outcome for the stock market is Trump's re-election and a divided Congress, as markets favor uncertainty.