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iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock Discussion

liquidityHunter

19 hours ago

i can see investors are selling off to go into bonds $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $U.S. 10-Year Treasury Notes Yield (US10Y.BD)$
as i have mentioned 4.5% is giving the stock market a lot of pressure

liquidityHunter: market is so euphoric that nobody is even thinking about hedging right now, btw 10 year closing to 4

zipthc80

Dec 27, 2024 07:56

Great 2024!

2025 ahead: New dreams, new paths

103463797

Dec 25, 2024 20:22

Columns Weekly Insights - 23rd Dec 2024

Dead Cat Bounce? Markets dropped for the second consecutive week despite some technical rebound last Friday. Small Caps continued to underperform large caps and have closed lower when trump won the election on 6th Nov. Weekly rolling returns for the Russell was negative from dec till date. Market breadth continues to deteriorate as spread continue to widen for RSP/SPY proxy. There are also rebalancing into year end by pensions and insurance worth noting. This comin...

Can the Santa Claus rally happen after the Fed's hawkish cut?

Cow Moo-ney

Dec 25, 2024 08:34

Christmas Day

Hope everyone is enjoying their Christmas. The tech sector has once again carried the market on Christmas Eve, giving investors an early Christmas Eve.
The market has basically pulled off back-to-back gains in the holiday-shortened trading week. Let’s see if the bullish momentum continues on Boxing Day.
$Salesforce (CRM.US)$ $Disney (DIS.US)$ $Bank of America (BAC.US)$ $Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)$ $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ $Morgan Stanley (MS.US)$ $Enphase Energy (ENPH.US)$ $Yum! Brands (YUM.US)$ ...

https://youtu.be/BdoerNUirF0

From YouTube

"Santa Claus Rally" in jeopardy: Can U.S. stocks finish the year strong?

103680587

Dec 19, 2024 19:49

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ oversold. long term yield spike despite rate cut?

PCE data released: Seeking clues for Fed's next move?

70495194 : This shit is going 80. The long term rate will be 4% for a long time. There is no upside on bonds.

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Mr6USA 70495194 : Don't think so. US economy is on the edge. Rate can't be kept that high for long, or a lot of things will collapse

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103895708 : Who knows that big investment banks like Morgan aren't deliberately shorting to balance risk, and in this process, those small banks or asset allocations that are heavy on long-term treasury bonds will explode, and they will take the opportunity to buy at a low price. There are also recent reports that Stanley Druckenmiller (Stanley Druckenmiller), a former partner of George Soros, is shorting US Treasury bonds (US bonds). The Chinese government is also emptying US debt and buying gold. Whether the US Treasury cuts interest rates drastically now and starts a new round of QE, which means inflation will come again, or the banks will continue to explode. Otherwise, there may be insufficient liquidity, as Yellen said. This means that US debt will continue to fall AA+ in 2011. You need to know that now the total size of US debt will reach 36 trillion, and the remaining second-place Japan only holds 1.08 cents. China only sells 770 percent. Billions, if the liquidity risk is actually shorted, then the world will be left in jeopardy, and we can't see any opportunity, because everyone thinks the safest thing is going to collapse, and what else won't collapse?

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kwang007 103895708 : Because first of all, the Federal Reserve just didn't do the same thing as Japan. If there were times of crisis, it could do this. If you look at the large size of US debt, it's actually not that big in proportion. The Fed can do it by minutes if it really wants to lower interest rates on long-term bonds. It's just that the Federal Reserve doesn't think this is necessary; it doesn't matter if the 10-year interest rate falls below 5. Also, you need to know that inflation and recession are just a matter of thought. What you haven't figured out is that if banks actually have thunderstorms and commercial real estate thunderstorms, in my opinion, the concern about the recession is actually greater than the concern about inflation. All of people's emotions now are on inflation. If the unemployment rate rises, commercial real estate thunderstorms, banks go out of business, and the story line of recession is raging, you need to understand that TLT can go up to the sky. The downward space TLT is 80. The upward space is huge, so why not allocate it?

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103895708 kwang007 : What you said is very reasonable, so you mean you don't need to consider liquidity risk to buy boldly? And why do you think 80 is the end?

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10101010101010

Dec 19, 2024 09:39

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ CALLS

liquidityHunter

Dec 18, 2024 23:29

10 year are at 4.5%. stocks and equities will be under pressure if it goes any higher. its time for bonds to be a safe haven once again ! $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$

KyleyW

Dec 18, 2024 15:37

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ isn't bond and fed rate inverse relationship? wtf it drop...

liquidityHunter

Dec 16, 2024 21:57

friendly reminder just in case anyone needs it $Bitcoin (BTC.CC)$ $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ $Tesla (TSLA.US)$

liquidityHunter: market is so euphoric that nobody is even thinking about hedging right now, btw 10 year clo

iloveoptions

Dec 16, 2024 19:48

$iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT.US)$ While US Yields are up, China’s yields are down big.

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