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Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF Newsroom
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
Dollar, Treasury Yields Could Correct Lower -- Market Talk
German Bunds, U.S. Treasurys Seek Near-Term Direction -- Market Talk
With Trump's inauguration approaching in January, Bank of America Merrill Lynch advises investors to adjust their portfolios: focusing on U.S. bonds, Central and Eastern European stock markets, and gold.
Bank of America advises investors to adjust their portfolios before Trump's inauguration in January, focusing on US Treasury bonds, China and Europe stock markets, and gold.
Treasuries See 2024 Gains Dwindle With December Fed Cut at Risk
US National Debts Rise To Historic Record US$36 Trillion
U.S. Two-30-Year Treasury Yield Spread Has Room to Widen -- Market Talk
"Trump trade" remains popular, but how much longer can it last.
Stocks, bonds, and other assets are already expensive relative to historical levels. Trump's trade protectionism policy may lead to a resurgence of inflation and force the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates at high levels for a longer period of time. In addition, the US economy is facing continuously expanding fiscal deficits and a labor market that is already showing signs of fatigue, which could put pressure on the economic growth outlook.
Goldman Sachs: The "rush towards junk stocks" trend will continue until Trump's inauguration, with the most short sold U.S. stocks being favored.
Goldman Sachs advises to continue holding the most short-sold stocks until the end of January next year, as a decrease in interest rates, avoidance of an economic recession, resolution of election uncertainties, and Trump's overwhelming victory will create an environment favorable for a rebound driven by 'animal spirits,' which benefits low-quality stocks.
Wall Street comments on CPI: A rate cut next month is basically certain, but the pace of rate cuts next year may slow down due to Trump's policies.
Wall Street analysts say that CPI data in line with expectations can almost guarantee that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, but the market still needs to assess the impact of inflation caused by the next US president, Trump, which may lead to the Federal Reserve slowing down its rate cuts next year.
Treasury Yields Slip After CPI Data -- WSJ
USA Stock Market Preview | All three equity index futures fell together, with the US October CPI released tonight.
On November 13th (Wednesday) pre-market trading, the three major US equity index futures all fell.
U.S. Treasury Curve Has Room to Steepen -- Market Talk
Treasury-German Bund Yield Spread Could Widen If U.S. CPI Data Surprises -- Market Talk
US Treasury put positions continue to rise, with US October CPI data becoming a focus of attention.
Data released on Tuesday shows that the open interest of two-year US Treasury futures has risen for the fourth consecutive trading day, indicating traders are building put positions ahead of the release of October inflation data on Wednesday.
Traders Ramp Up Bets on a Treasury Selloff After Trump's Win
US Companies Storm Debt Markets After Risk Premiums Plunge
Trade fearlessly against Trump 2.0 inflation risks, as traders massively buy US bonds at bargain prices.
ETF traders are heavily betting on US treasuries, believing that interest rates have indeed peaked.
"Apocalypse Doctor": The bond market will punish the "Trump policy".
Rubini stated that if bond yields rise and the stock market adjusts, the "bond guardian" believes that Trump's policies are unsustainable, so economic advisors would warn Trump not to adopt radical populist economic policies, but rather to be more moderate.
Higher U.S. Growth Could Hurt Long-Dated Bonds -- Market Talk