Is it really heading towards 5? The yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds has reached 4.86%, setting a new high in over a year.
At the beginning of the new year, while market participants are speculating how many times the Federal Reserve can lower interest rates, a scene that worries many cross-asset market traders is still "playing out"; the yield on long-term USA bonds has not stopped its march towards 5.
Trump stirs the market, the dollar finally falls, but U.S. long-term bond yields hit a 14-month high.
Due to reports that Trump's tariff policy was not as strong as expected, the dollar temporarily fell by 1%, but after Trump refuted the claims, it recovered nearly half of its losses. The US bond market began to price in the possibility of Trump continuing to disrupt the financial markets, with the yield on the 30-year US Treasury bond rising by 5 basis points to 4.86% during the session, reaching the highest level since November 2023.
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The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to a 14-month high, as the market awaits this week's $114 billion Treasury auction.
Before the auction of 58 billion dollars in 3-year Treasury bonds on Monday, the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds briefly rose to 4.85%. Analysts believe that the demand for U.S. Treasuries will continue to be influenced by economic conditions, geopolitical factors, and risk sentiment, which may result in higher market volatility throughout the year. Since early December last year, this sensitivity has pushed the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries up by about 50 basis points.
Concerns arise over more than a trillion dollars in U.S. debt to be issued, as the yield on 30-year Treasury bonds surges to a 14-month high.
Due to the tense and anxious bond market preparing for the issuance of new government bonds worth 119 billion dollars this week, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield has risen to its highest level since the end of 2023.
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