Today the 27th is a battle of 5MA and a breakout point.
As I mentioned in yesterday's video, despite the narrowing of the yield spread between Japan and the United States, the USD/JPY has stubbornly stayed high, breaking below 153 yen. In this case, it is natural that the Nikkei futures cannot just shoot above 38,500 yen.
At 9:20, it crossed the 5MA downtrend at the 38,200 yen level. If it fails to turn around from here, the short-term uptrend will be negated and any long positions anticipating a short-term reversal should be closed out.
In the unlikely event of breaking below 37,868 and closing below it, the price could plummet straight to below 37,000, so it is crucial to defend the 38,000 level.

Sell the return of the 25MA today, the 26th.
In the video last night, I talked about the expectation of breaking through the 25MA and the breakout point of 39,050 yen... However, unfortunately, it has turned into a typical return move in the opposite direction.
Since all gains from yesterday have been released in the decline after the open, it is inevitable to determine that the base is weak. In the short term, there is a range of ±500 yen around 38,500. Take a position in the direction that breaks this range. Until then, sell at the far OP.

Today on the 25th is a cross of MACD Mk2 and 5MA.
On the 22nd, the histogram of MACD Mk2 switched from orange to red, and then on the 25th, it formed a rising 5MA cross.
Furthermore, it has also crossed the 25MA, denying the return move of the 25MA. Until last week, the upper side was heavy and pushed back by wicks, but as of 9:30, it may have changed slightly.
After that, the NT multiplier also triggers a NT long upward 5MA cross. It may turn to an upward trend with a slight pushback from the Nikkei side.

Today, 11/22 (Fri), Takebe-san from Okasan Securities on Radio NIKKEI
"PUT36000 has a position of 12,000 contracts! Furthermore, PUT35000 has exceeded 9,000 contracts!"boasted with a smug look, saying that it is currently falling, and that it might continue to fall.
For those involved in single option trading"It's ridiculous" "Why are you talking like an amateur?"This is the story, and I will write a little about it here.
First, please look here.
Because I usually check, I was able to quickly post X with such a stupid statement.
As written here, 12,000 sheets are in the major exercise price range of the major SQ.A very normal level.It is.
Rather, P35000.Still, it hasn't even exceeded 0.01 million units.It is.
Although the stock price level has risen compared to the past, the impact of one exercise price has diminished. It is not strange to have about 15,000 units at a level 3,000 to 4,000 yen below the November limit SQ value of 39,901 yen, down from 8% to 10%.
P33000 and P32000 have surpassed 0.01 million contracts! and advocating a theory of a crash on YouTube...

Today is WaveTrend on the 22nd. This is a chart introduced by Kaburabo members.
Because the green line has not yet penetrated below the red line, the bottom reversal is still uncertain, but the formation is resembling the September bottoming out.
If the white clouds turn sunny, it will be expected to rebound and rise. As of 9:30, it has turned around to 38,280 yen, but I think if it can maintain around 38,300 yen, it will also turn sunny in the first half of next week.

Today, on the 21st, there was talk that 38500 has become the immediate upper limit.
The stock price did not see a major fluctuation following this morning's NVIDIA earnings announcements. In the Japanese market this morning, despite many gainers, there is a decline, with futures leading the sell-off.
The yellow line is the breakout point, and the lower limit of 38540 has become a resistance.
Unable to return to just 25MA, it has been held at 38500 Dokoro in a battle around 38000, and there is a possibility of dropping further to plus or minus 500 yen centered on 38000. In any case, after breaking 38000, there may be a flow of bouncing back at 37750 of the 75MA.

Today is the nasdaq advance-decline ratio.
As mentioned at Kablabo yesterday, the lower histogram shows the nasdaq stock advance-decline ratio.
Red represents 50% or more, indicating that the number of advancing stocks exceeds the number of declining stocks. The light blue indicates the opposite, where the number of declining stocks is higher. It is a strategy that after light blue persists for 4 days or more, followed by red, the trend is likely to reverse and move upwards.
Since it turned red yesterday, there is a high possibility of a temporary halt to the decline from here.
However, NVIDIA's earnings will be announced tomorrow morning. This time, there are open positions in single options expecting a movement of more than 8% up or down, so a significant move in either direction is anticipated. It would be advisable to watch NVIDIA's earnings carefully until they settle.

Today the 19th is ANN Line.
Last night's NY was almost flat, yet it is quite stable at Japan time. Considering the stability of the exchange rate, there is a sense of relief with a decent rebound.
However, both the ANN Line and the dow inc theory line have turned negative, with the ANN Line around 38,860 yen now, and the 25MA also at 38,870 in the same position.
I see the current situation as a return sell market up to this point. So I am still waiting for the upper wick without entering a long position. However, NVIDIA earnings will be released in the early hours of the 21st, so I think it's a situation where it's unclear which way it will bounce again.

Today on the 18th, we were cautious of a continued decline after the US Square reopening, but it turned around when it became Japan time.
There is a sense of relief as it has come out above the 38290 of the 200MA once.
Since breaking above and reclaiming the 200MA on 9/20, it has become support 7 times, and today marks the 8th time.
If the 200MA falls below the closing price, a tough situation awaits.
And the rebound will face the first hurdle at 25MA.
Since 25MA is at 38,900, it remains to be seen if it can return that far. In any case, the key is whether it can return to the range of plus or minus 500 from 39,000.