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[Economic Index Bulletin]
🇺🇸 This is the result of the US economic indicators ✍️
The results exceeded expectations ↗️
Announced at 23:00 📣
🇺🇸 University of Michigan Consumer Attitudes Index
Result: 67.8
Forecast: 66.9
Last time: 66.4
🇺🇸🇯🇵 The dollar and yen rose from around 147.80 yen 📈
[Economic Index Bulletin]
🇺🇸 This is the result of the US economic indicators ✍️
The results exceeded expectations ↗️
Announced at 23:00 📣
🇺🇸 University of Michigan Consumer Attitudes Index
Result: 67.8
Forecast: 66.9
Last time: 66.4
🇺🇸🇯🇵 The dollar and yen rose from around 147.80 yen 📈
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ $OSE Nikkei 225 Futures(SEP4) (NK225main.JP)$ $USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
2024/08/16 (Fri) 23:02
[Breaking News] The dollar and yen are 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, and the US-August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
The dollar and yen are 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, and the US-August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
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2024/08/16 (Fri) 23:02 [Breaking News] Dollar/yen 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, US August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
2024/08/16 (Fri) 23:02
[Breaking News] The dollar and yen are 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, and the US-August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
The dollar and yen are 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, and the US-August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
Powered by FISCO
2024/08/16 (Fri) 23:02 [Breaking News] Dollar/yen 148.00 yen, dollar sales decline, US August Michigan Consumer Confidence Index and expected inflation rate exceed expectations
Translated
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$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
You went through the microwave in an instant last night.
When I was trading while taking profit every so often, it ended up slurping from where I last ordered, and now I have unrealized losses (I wonder if this has friends? 😅).
Well, if it goes up this much, it's unavoidable that full-scale profit gains will come out (the same goes for long-term interest rates).
To be honest, it doesn't matter if the yen appreciates or weakens in the future, but there is one reason I wanted to get along with unrealized losses a little more this time.
That is the daily MACD.
If you like technology, you probably know that the MACD crosses at a position away from the zero line, the higher its reliability.
So I looked it up the distance from the zero line of the MACD line this time.
The maximum value was -3.35, which was set on 8/7.
Going back in time, this was the first time since 2000 that the MACD line exceeded -3 (sorry if I overlooked it because it was done by hand).
However, since the trading environment and participants are completely different between 2000 and the present, it is impossible to make an accurate comparison, but it can be said that there is no doubt about the size of the distance from the MACD zero line this time...
You went through the microwave in an instant last night.
When I was trading while taking profit every so often, it ended up slurping from where I last ordered, and now I have unrealized losses (I wonder if this has friends? 😅).
Well, if it goes up this much, it's unavoidable that full-scale profit gains will come out (the same goes for long-term interest rates).
To be honest, it doesn't matter if the yen appreciates or weakens in the future, but there is one reason I wanted to get along with unrealized losses a little more this time.
That is the daily MACD.
If you like technology, you probably know that the MACD crosses at a position away from the zero line, the higher its reliability.
So I looked it up the distance from the zero line of the MACD line this time.
The maximum value was -3.35, which was set on 8/7.
Going back in time, this was the first time since 2000 that the MACD line exceeded -3 (sorry if I overlooked it because it was done by hand).
However, since the trading environment and participants are completely different between 2000 and the present, it is impossible to make an accurate comparison, but it can be said that there is no doubt about the size of the distance from the MACD zero line this time...
Translated
![FX small story (dollar yen)](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/182958923/20240816/53699125bd166a4d22cfd12743e0af7e.jpg/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$
NITORI HOLDINGSChairman Nitori Akio of (HD) said at the briefing session of the financial results for the fiscal year ending 2024/4/6 on the 7th about the rapid appreciation of the yen, “The appreciation of the yen we have been waiting for has finally arrived. The tide has changed,” he said. As for the exchange rate outlook, it was stated that “the trend of depreciation of the dollar and appreciation of the yen will continue for 1 to 2 years,” and then “this year it will advance to the latter half of the 1 dollar = 130 yen range. He developed his theory that “next year it may advance to the 120 yen range, and eventually to the 110 yen range.”
Is it really going to go up to 110 dollars/yen?
NITORI HOLDINGSChairman Nitori Akio of (HD) said at the briefing session of the financial results for the fiscal year ending 2024/4/6 on the 7th about the rapid appreciation of the yen, “The appreciation of the yen we have been waiting for has finally arrived. The tide has changed,” he said. As for the exchange rate outlook, it was stated that “the trend of depreciation of the dollar and appreciation of the yen will continue for 1 to 2 years,” and then “this year it will advance to the latter half of the 1 dollar = 130 yen range. He developed his theory that “next year it may advance to the 120 yen range, and eventually to the 110 yen range.”
Is it really going to go up to 110 dollars/yen?
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$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Although PPI and CPI announcements have been completed, it was not possible to break the 146-148 yen range.
Now that this has happened, we can't help but pay attention to tonight's retail sales announcement.
Additionally, it was America that expected a gradual recession in the economy, but recently concerns about rapid economic deterioration have surpassed that, so announcements of retail sales directly linked to private consumption should attract more attention than usual.
If it doesn't break even with this, let's all be nice and break the screen 👊🖥️🔨
Will it break or not,
which one is it!!!!!!
Although PPI and CPI announcements have been completed, it was not possible to break the 146-148 yen range.
Now that this has happened, we can't help but pay attention to tonight's retail sales announcement.
Additionally, it was America that expected a gradual recession in the economy, but recently concerns about rapid economic deterioration have surpassed that, so announcements of retail sales directly linked to private consumption should attract more attention than usual.
If it doesn't break even with this, let's all be nice and break the screen 👊🖥️🔨
Will it break or not,
which one is it!!!!!!
Translated
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Good morning to all moomoo users!
Here's an overview of this morning's turnaround. Thank you in advance.![]()
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average began at 36535.60 yen, 303.09 yen higher than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) rose 18.43 points to 2571.98.
Top news
The yen rose to the latter half of the 146 yen range against the dollar, and observations of lower US interest rates increased, and the dollar depreciated across the board
The yen exchange rate of the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market on the morning of the 14th was in the latter half of the $1 = 146 yen range, rising from the evening before. In overseas markets, in response to the US producer price index (PPI), US interest rate reduction observations in September increased, interest rates declined, and dollars were sold. The Tokyo market is likely to be in a wait-and-see mood ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be announced at night Japan time.
Japanese FX investors who are bullish on yen are approaching record highs
Individual investors who handle foreign exchange margin trading (FX) are betting on a further rise in yen as the yen exchange rate shrinks the increase in the past 2 weeks. According to data from the Tokyo Financial Exchange compiled by Bloomberg, individual investors are in 14 foreign currencies...
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average began at 36535.60 yen, 303.09 yen higher than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Price Index (TOPIX) rose 18.43 points to 2571.98.
Top news
The yen rose to the latter half of the 146 yen range against the dollar, and observations of lower US interest rates increased, and the dollar depreciated across the board
The yen exchange rate of the Tokyo Foreign Exchange Market on the morning of the 14th was in the latter half of the $1 = 146 yen range, rising from the evening before. In overseas markets, in response to the US producer price index (PPI), US interest rate reduction observations in September increased, interest rates declined, and dollars were sold. The Tokyo market is likely to be in a wait-and-see mood ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be announced at night Japan time.
Japanese FX investors who are bullish on yen are approaching record highs
Individual investors who handle foreign exchange margin trading (FX) are betting on a further rise in yen as the yen exchange rate shrinks the increase in the past 2 weeks. According to data from the Tokyo Financial Exchange compiled by Bloomberg, individual investors are in 14 foreign currencies...
Translated
![Starting with the Nikkei Average rising by 303 yen, Japanese FX investors, who are bullish on the yen, are approaching record highs](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240814/664e7058b4d8467aaf7698606e884348.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Starting with the Nikkei Average rising by 303 yen, Japanese FX investors, who are bullish on the yen, are approaching record highs](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240814/8e7e80aa1b794fed8052f4dbbdbdec1b.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Starting with the Nikkei Average rising by 303 yen, Japanese FX investors, who are bullish on the yen, are approaching record highs](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240513/ce0a4b76f27541b083cf71a59461123c.png?area=105&is_public=true/thumb)
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Hello Moomoo users! Thank you for the big draw. Today's stock market summary is as follows. Thank you for your support.
●The Nikkei Average ended at 36232.51 yen, 1207.51 yen higher than the previous business day
● Nikkei Average continues to rise drastically, performance indicators at a high level for the first time in 3 years Nomura Securities
● Outflow of funds from overseas stock funds First investment in the previous week after the start of the new NISA
● Rakuten Group stocks continued to grow drastically, and the original deficit narrowed, and the mobile phone business improved
● Petroleum-related stocks such as INPEX are high, WTI prices rise due to the tense situation in the Middle East ◇
● Attention to the handle: $Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$、 $Inpex (1605.JP)$、 $Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (3099.JP)$、 $ENEOS Holdings (5020.JP)$etc
ー MooMoo News Japanese stock Sherry
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average is 36232.51 yen, 1207.51 yen higher than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Exchange Index (TOP...
●The Nikkei Average ended at 36232.51 yen, 1207.51 yen higher than the previous business day
● Nikkei Average continues to rise drastically, performance indicators at a high level for the first time in 3 years Nomura Securities
● Outflow of funds from overseas stock funds First investment in the previous week after the start of the new NISA
● Rakuten Group stocks continued to grow drastically, and the original deficit narrowed, and the mobile phone business improved
● Petroleum-related stocks such as INPEX are high, WTI prices rise due to the tense situation in the Middle East ◇
● Attention to the handle: $Rakuten Group (4755.JP)$、 $Inpex (1605.JP)$、 $Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings (3099.JP)$、 $ENEOS Holdings (5020.JP)$etc
ー MooMoo News Japanese stock Sherry
Market Overview
Today's Nikkei Stock Average is 36232.51 yen, 1207.51 yen higher than the previous business day, and the Tokyo Stock Exchange Index (TOP...
Translated
![Tokyo Market Summary: Nikkei Average Rises by 1207 Yen, Returning Standard Performance Index for “Good Settlement Purchases” High Level for the First Time in 3 Years Nomura Securities](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240813/7c9c8b302e8a0b3c8684e7c9d1d9dee2.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
![Tokyo Market Summary: Nikkei Average Rises by 1207 Yen, Returning Standard Performance Index for “Good Settlement Purchases” High Level for the First Time in 3 Years Nomura Securities](https://sgsnsimg.moomoo.com/sns_client_feed/181569713/20240513/ce0a4b76f27541b083cf71a59461123c.png/thumb?area=105&is_public=true)
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$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
The US long-term interest rate (10-year bond yield) was just around 4%, which is half price to 61.8% return.
In other words, it is also necessary to consider the risk that interest rates will drop due to a return sale (buy since it's a bond) soon.
Currently, prices are being held down by a downward downward resistance line with the peak around 147.900 yen, so contrary to the reaction immediately after the announcement of the number of unemployment insurance claims, I would rather keep in mind the possibility that the yen will appreciate in the future.
The US long-term interest rate (10-year bond yield) was just around 4%, which is half price to 61.8% return.
In other words, it is also necessary to consider the risk that interest rates will drop due to a return sale (buy since it's a bond) soon.
Currently, prices are being held down by a downward downward resistance line with the peak around 147.900 yen, so contrary to the reaction immediately after the announcement of the number of unemployment insurance claims, I would rather keep in mind the possibility that the yen will appreciate in the future.
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The Bank of Japan will hold a monetary policy meeting on the 30th to 31st. The details of the decision will be announced around noon on the 31st, and President Ueda Kazuo's press conference will be held in the afternoon.
At the previous June meeting, a policy to reduce the purchase amount of long-term government bonds was decided, but the scale of reduction etc. was not shown, and it was decided that a specific reduction schedule for the next 1 to 2 years will be announced at the current July meeting.
At this July meeting,In addition to how much the pace of reduction in government bond purchases will be, the biggest focus is on the pros and cons of additional interest rate hikesIt becomes. According to the advance forecast,There is a large probability that neither rapid government bond purchase cuts leading to a rapid rise in interest rate levels nor interest rate hikes will be carried out, so it doesn't seem to be a major negative factor for the stock marketthat's it. Another background is that pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates is declining due to the current rapid appreciation of the yen. Conversely,If the market determines that the pace of government bond purchases and reductions is slower than expected, it will be a positive surprise for the stock market that weakens the yenThere is also a possibility that it will happen.
Consideration for avoiding rapid interest rate increases is positive for the stock market
When the Bank of Japan, which had been the largest buyer of government bonds until now, reduced purchases of long-term government bonds, the price of government bonds fell...
At the previous June meeting, a policy to reduce the purchase amount of long-term government bonds was decided, but the scale of reduction etc. was not shown, and it was decided that a specific reduction schedule for the next 1 to 2 years will be announced at the current July meeting.
At this July meeting,In addition to how much the pace of reduction in government bond purchases will be, the biggest focus is on the pros and cons of additional interest rate hikesIt becomes. According to the advance forecast,There is a large probability that neither rapid government bond purchase cuts leading to a rapid rise in interest rate levels nor interest rate hikes will be carried out, so it doesn't seem to be a major negative factor for the stock marketthat's it. Another background is that pressure on the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates is declining due to the current rapid appreciation of the yen. Conversely,If the market determines that the pace of government bond purchases and reductions is slower than expected, it will be a positive surprise for the stock market that weakens the yenThere is also a possibility that it will happen.
When the Bank of Japan, which had been the largest buyer of government bonds until now, reduced purchases of long-term government bonds, the price of government bonds fell...
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