$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
There was no particular excitement, right?
Personally, it's good in the afternoon too.
Because Jackson Hole is the main focus.
One point of interest from a technical perspective.
If it breaks above the recent high of 146.526 yen without falling below the recent low of 144.458 yen, a trend reversal in the Dow Theory would be confirmed, so attention should be paid to the short-term trend of a weakening yen and a strengthening dollar.
Due to the excessive inflation of market rate cut expectations influenced by recent economic indicators, if there is any disappointment in rate cuts, there is a possibility of an excessive reaction of dollar buying, so it is important to be prepared.
If it falls below the recent low, follow the trend straightforwardly.

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Regarding the annual revision of the US employment statistics starting from 23:00.
It's too niche, I honestly don't know about this.
All I can say is that in the past 2-3 days, it has been incorporated more than enough, and the sale of 2 yen has already been completed.
In other words, if there is no revision as much as it was being speculated beforehand, what will happen is a buyback of the dollar.
Rather, considering this risk, I also want to prepare a dollar buying position.
This is OCO for times like this! 👊

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
Last night, it broke through the range in an instant.
I've been trading while taking profits here and there, but in the end, it kept dropping from where I placed my order, and now I'm holding unrealized losses (I wonder if there are others in the same boat? 😅).
Well, it's inevitable to see some serious profit taking with such a big rise (same goes for long-term interest rates).
To be honest, I don't mind whether the yen strengthens or weakens in the future, but this time there is one reason why I wanted to get along better with unrealized losses.
That is the daily MACD.
For those who like technical analysis, I think you know that the further away the MACD crosses from the zero line, the higher the reliability.
So I looked up the distance from the zero line for this MACD line.
The maximum value was -3.35 on August 7th.
Looking back in the past, this is the first time since 2000 that the MACD line has exceeded -3 (if there are any oversights, I apologize as it is done manually).
However, it is not possible to make an accurate comparison between 2000 and now because the trading environment and participants are completely different, but it can be said that the distance from the zero line of this MACD is significant...

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
After the announcements of PPI and CPI, it was unable to break the range of 146-148 yen.
Now that it has come to this, we cannot help but pay attention to tonight's retail revenue announcement.
In addition, while America was expecting a mild economic downturn, recently concerns have arisen about a rapid deterioration beyond that, so the announcement of retail revenue directly linked to personal consumption is likely to attract more attention than usual.
If this doesn't break, let's all break the screen in a friendly manner together 👊🖥️🔨
Will it break or not,
Which one is it!!!!!!!!

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
The long-term US interest rate (10-year bond yield) retraced halfway to 61.8% at around exactly 4%.
In other words, it is necessary to consider the risk of interest rates falling due to selling bonds (or buying) soon.
Currently, the price is suppressed by a declining resistance line with a peak around 147.900 yen, so instead of reacting to the number of initial jobless insurance claims, it is advisable to also consider the possibility of the yen strengthening in the future.

$USD/JPY (USDJPY.FX)$
interest rates eventually went up this much after the Michigan announcement...
Undercover intervention?
intervention back?
It would have been perfect without this, but...
But if this is really an intervention, the recent intervention is so tricky that I'm seriously falling in love with Kanda Treasurer lol (the damage is huge)