Recovery to 0.04 million yen level due to expectations for the New Year market.
The Nikkei average rose significantly for the third consecutive day. It ended at 40,281.16 yen, up 713.10 yen (with an estimated Volume of 2.1 billion 30 million shares), recovering to the 0.04 million yen level for the first time in about five and a half months since July 19. The yen rate weakened to around 158 yen to the dollar in the previous day's Overseas market, leading to early buying focused on export stocks such as Automobiles, and the Nikkei average started to rise. Just before the midday close, it recovered to the 0.04 million yen level for the first time in about two weeks. Afterwards, Semiconductor-related stocks and other high-value stocks continued to rise.
Defense spending is increasing, and Japan's total budget for 2025 will reach a record 115 trillion yen.
In the new budget proposal, the spending items with the largest increase include: a significant increase of over 10% in defense spending, reaching 8.5 trillion yen; and an approximately 7% increase in allocations to local governments. Due to record high tax revenues, the scale of newly issued government bonds will decrease by nearly one-fifth, down to 28.6 trillion yen.
List of Conversion Stocks (Part 1) [List of Parabolic Signal Conversion Stocks]
○ List of stocks that have changed to Buy Market Code Stock Name Closing Price SAR Main Board <1333> Maruha Nichiro 2952 2890 <1375> Yukiguni Maitake 1054 1011 <1720> Tokyu Construction 7206 977 <1813> Fudo Tetra 2074 1977 <1833> Okumura Corporation 3920 3785 <1835> Tokyo Steel 3300 3145 <1882> Daiwa House
List of breakout stocks (Part 1) [Ichimoku Kinko Hyo - List of breakout stocks]
○ List of stocks that have broken through the clouds Market Code Stock Name Closing Price Leading Span A Leading Span B Tokyo Stock Exchange Main Board <1379> Hokuto 1786 1759.5 1783 <1515> Nippon Steel Mining 448043654355 <1662> Petroleum Resources 112611201117.5 <1720> Tokyu Construction 720692.25708.5 <1721> Comsys HD 32253211.53194.5 <
With limited participants, export stocks are leading the market.
The Nikkei average continued to rise significantly, closing at 39,568.06 yen, up 437.63 yen (with an estimated Volume of 1.9 billion 60 million shares). With European and American markets closed, market participants were limited and the day started slightly lower. However, as the yen temporarily weakened to around 157 yen per dollar, export stocks such as Automobiles were actively bought, and the Nikkei average even extended its gains to 39,592.28 yen towards the end of the afternoon session. Additionally, as the final trading day for year-end settlements approached, individual tax-saving sell-offs also peaked.
As soon as the news of Japan easing tourist visas for people from China was released, local retail travel stocks surged immediately.
① The Japanese Foreign Minister, Toshimitsu Motegi, announced the relaxation of visa requirements for Chinese tourists to Japan, expected to be implemented in spring 2025. ② After the announcement, retail and tourism-related stocks in Japan rose, with J. Front Retailing Co. soaring by 8.38%, while Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings and Takashimaya increased by 6.98% and 3.69%, respectively.
China's AI industry is rapidly emerging, aggressively chasing after American OpenAI.
[Generative AI] As exports of cutting-edge Semiconductors to China are being restricted, it has been reported that emerging companies in the country may be catching up to U.S. tech giants’ Artificial Intelligence (AI) models at a pace that exceeds industry Financial Estimates. The emerging company DeepSeek, backed by a major Chinese hedge fund, has released a preview of its latest large-scale language model. <6702> Fujitsu <7046> TDSE <4011> Headwaters <3993>
Despite the absence of Overseas investors, a solid development is underway.
The Nikkei Average rebounded, finishing at 39,130.43 yen, up by 93.58 yen (with an estimated Volume of 1.7 billion 60 million shares). Buoyed by the previous day's rise in U.S. tech stocks, buying began early, pushing the Nikkei Average up to 39,180.59 yen shortly after the open. However, with European and American investors entering the Christmas holiday, market participation was low, leading to a shift to a negative trend due to position adjustments, with the index dropping to 38,927.16 yen during the middle of the morning session. The afternoon session saw a market environment characterized by strong stagnation.
Canon Inc-Spons Adr, Espec, etc. [List of stocks from the newspaper]
*Canon Inc-Spons Adr <7751> re-enters the ArF lithography equipment market, aiming to gain Share through miniaturization (Nikkei Industrial Daily page 1) -○ *Espec <6859> launches aggressive strategies for Semiconductors, continuously introducing contract measurement services (Nikkei Industrial Daily page 1) -○ *Nippon Steel <5401> believes in 'presidential approval' for the acquisition of United States Steel, statement made for final decision (Nikkei Industrial Daily page 3) -○ *Sumitomo Chemical <4005> sells polarizing film to two Chinese companies, targeting large LCDs, to local companies in spring next year (Nikkei Industrial Daily page 3) -○ *Mitsubishi Corporation <8058> diverse workforce.
The impact of rising U.S. tech stocks is limited, leading to a shift towards value stocks.
The Nikkei Average fell. It closed at 39,036.85 yen, down 124.49 yen (Volume estimated at 1.8 billion and 40 million shares). Following the rise in US stocks the previous day, buying began to lead, and shortly after the opening, it increased to 39,245.75 yen. However, with the Christmas holiday approaching, the movements of Overseas investors were sluggish, and there was no active push for higher prices. Subsequently, the focus shifted to profit-taking rebalance movements, and by the end of the first half, it dropped to 38,995.76 yen, approaching the key level of 39,000 yen.
The Nikkei average fell back, continuing a lack of direction as the Christmas holiday approaches.
On the 23rd, the US Stocks market continued to rise. The Dow Inc average increased by 66.69 points to 42,906.95 dollars, and the Nasdaq closed up by 192.29 points at 19,764.88. Caution was exercised due to the deterioration of the Consumer Confidence Index, leading to mixed results after the opening. Following the retreat of expectations for rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, long-term Gold rates rose, causing the Dow Inc to decline. However, as high-tech Stocks were purchased in anticipation of a Santa Claus rally, the Nasdaq remained strong, expanding its gains towards the end of the trading session, benefiting the overall market.
A situation is developing where a rebound is being attempted, led by high-tech shareholders.
[Stocks Opening Comment] On the 24th, the Japanese stock market is expected to show a strong sense of stagnation, but the eagerness for buying on dips is likely to be noted. On the 23rd, the US market saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 66 points, and the Nasdaq increase by 192 points. However, the US consumer confidence index for November fell short of financial estimates, which was a burden. Amid increasing caution over the rise in long-term interest rates due to the retreat of expectations for rapid interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, there were moments when the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined. However,
Reflecting the rise in US stocks, there is a movement of autonomous rebound centered around technology stocks.
The Nikkei average rebounded for the first time in seven trading days. It closed at 39,161.34 yen, up 459.44 yen (with an estimated Volume of 1.78 billion shares). In addition to the rise in major stock indices in the USA markets on the previous weekend, the Nikkei average had dropped more than 1,100 yen over the last six trading days, leading to a surge in buying aimed at a self-rebound. It began above 39,000 yen, and although the increase narrowed due to selling as buyers took a pause, Semiconductors and other related stocks remained strong, helping to drive the market.
The Nikkei Average rebounded for the first time in seven days, as buying prevailed due to the avoidance of a U.S. government agency shutdown.
Last weekend, the USA market's Dow Inc average closed up by 498.02 points at 42840.26 points, and the Nasdaq closed up by 199.83 points at 19572.60 points. While some tech stocks saw early selling, leading to a decline at the open, the November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index suggested progress in inflation control, supporting an increase. The Dow Inc average briefly surged over 800 points higher compared to the previous day, but faced expiration of stock index Futures and Single Options for individual stocks.
Developments while keeping an eye on the exchange rate.
The Nikkei average has fallen for six consecutive trading days. It ended the day at 38,701.90 yen, down 111.68 yen (estimated Volume of 2.7 billion 10 million shares). Following the yen's depreciation after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda's press conference, there was buying in export-related stocks, such as Automobiles, and the Nikkei average began to rebound. Towards the end of the morning session, it rose to 39,039.68 yen. However, after Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato expressed concerns over the fluctuations in the foreign exchange market, including speculative movements, it was a trigger for short-term Futures.
List of Conversion Stocks (Part 4) [List of Parabolic Signal Conversion Stocks]
○ List of stocks that have switched to selling in the market Code Stock Name Closing Price SAR Main Board <7974> NINTENDO CO LTD 9410 9587 <8001> Itochu 75007904 <8011> Sanyo 28442876 <8014> Chori 38854050 <8037> Kamei 18741972 <8051> YAMAZEN 13831426 <8075> SHINKO SHOKO 60606230 <8091> Nichimou 1952
The immediate stance is to Buy on dips [closing].
The Nikkei Average declined for five consecutive trading days, ending at 38,813.58 yen, down 268.13 yen (estimated Volume of approximately 2.2 billion shares). Following the perception that the results of the USA Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) were hawkish, the major stock indices in the USA fell the previous day, leading to risk-averse selling. The Nikkei Average dipped to 38,355.52 yen shortly after the market opened. However, as the yen weakened to the mid-154 yen range against the dollar, it provided support for the market, while the Bank of Japan continued its financial measures.
TBS HD, NTV HD, etc. (additional) Rating
Upgraded - Bullish Code Stock Name Securities Company Previous Change After ------------------------------------------------------------ <4676> Fuji HD Nomura "Neutral" "Buy" Downgraded - Bearish Code Stock Name Securities Company Previous Change After ------------------------------------------------------------ <4293> Septeni
List of converted stocks (Part 2) [List of converted stocks for Parabolic Signal]
○ List of stocks converting to Sell Market Code Stock Name Closing Price SAR Main Board <1301> Kyokuyo 3950 4135 <1719> Ando Hazama 1172 1210 <1762> Takamatsu G 2668 2750 <1821> Mitsui Construction 4124 35 <1835> Toh-Tetsu Kogyo 3175 3315 <1861> Kumagai Gumi 3975 4145 <1888> Wakatsuki Construction 3810 4055 <1893> Goyo Construction 61
Stock Split Implementation / New Share Issuance List [Stock Split Implementation / New Share Issuance List]
Split Date Stock Name Split Base Date Effective Date Ratio Code ---------------------------------------------------------------- 24/12/27 NXHD 24/12/31 25/01/01 1<9147> 24/12/19 Toho Re-Mac 24/12/20 24/12/21 10<7422> 25/03/28 Nomura Holdings 25/03/31 25/04/01