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There is an optimistic atmosphere, and no one on Wall Street believes that the stock market will decline in 2025.
In the past few decades, Wall Street has never predicted that the US stock market would decline in the following year; even the most pessimistic annual forecasts suggested that the stock market would see slight growth. Over the past 50 years, the S&P 500 Index has recorded declines in 13 years.
US Morning News Call | Stock Index Futures Rise Ahead of the Year's Final Trading Session
US Stock Outlook | All three Equity Index futures are up, seasoned investors are calling for the sale of the 'seven giants', and the US stock market will be closed on Wednesday.
All three major U.S. Equity Index futures are rising.
Wall Street Futures Gain Pre-Bell Tuesday, Pointing to Higher Open for 2024's Last Session
U.S. Futures Fall, European Stocks Mostly Down
Top ten macro events globally in 2024: The US and Japan central banks both pivot, China's Assets explode, and epic surge of Gold and Bitcoin.
This year, major global central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, have all entered a path of easing, while the Bank of Japan announced the end of the negative interest rate era. The narrowing of the interest rate differential between Japan and the USA briefly spurred a reversal in yen carry trades. Chinese assets have strongly rebounded under the boost of policy 'combinations'. The US elections have driven the 'Trump trade' to become popular, with Bitcoin and Gold, the two major assets, dominating in chaotic times.
U.S. stocks show signs of "fatigue" at the end of the year; what will happen next year? Experts say the January inflation report may be the key!
① After achieving double-digit growth in the USA stock market in 2024, it showed signs of fatigue towards the end of the year, and a year-end rebound did not occur. Renowned Analyst Gene Munster believes the market is tense and is looking for reasons to retreat; ② he thinks that the inflation report set to be released in January could become a key turning point. In this regard, Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel also expressed agreement.
"Bonds vigilantes" are targeting Trump and Powell as the "anchor of Global asset pricing" dances again.
The yield on US treasury bonds has soared again in the past few weeks, putting pressure on the US stock market.
Dow Tumbles Over 400 Points As Tesla, Meta Decline: Fear Continues To Grip Markets, Greed Index Remains In Red Zone
Elliott Wave View: Dow Futures (YM) Looking for Double Correction [Video]
January's Must-see Financial Events: CES 2025, Q4 Earnings Season, and Trump's Inauguration Day
450 billion Outflow vs. 1700 billion Inflow, USA active funds suffered greatly, while ETF is the big winner.
Analysts indicate that in recent years, traditional stock-picking Funds have struggled to justify their relatively high fees, as their performance lags behind the Wall Street Index driven by large Technology stocks. As older investors, who typically prefer active strategies, exit the market, younger savers are shifting towards cheaper passive strategies, accelerating the outflow of funds from active strategies.
Options Market Statistics: MicroStrategy Sells Shares, Buys More Bitcoin; Options Pop
Tech Weakness Drives Third Day Of Losses