ZCH BMO MSCI CHINA ESG LEADERS INDX ETF UNIT
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On the first trading day of the New Year, Bank stocks opened high and then fell back. Many Institutions: the opening performance may be better than in previous years, but the trend of declining net interest margin remains unchanged.
① The crediting ratio between each quarter is expected to recover to a ratio of 4:3:2:1. ② It is expected that policy trends will continue, gradually boosting demand in the Real Estate sector. ③ This year, the decline in net interest margin for Banks is narrower compared to 2024, with a calculated interest margin of 1.34% under neutral assumptions.
U.S. stocks close: The Nasdaq returns above 0.02 million points as Apple reaches a new high with a market cap of 3.9 trillion.
① Tesla rose by 7.36%, leading the "Seven Giants"; ② Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index has risen for three consecutive days; ③ American Airlines announced that flights have resumed running; ④ OpenAI has discussed developing a humanoid Siasun Robot&Automation.
In December, both domestic and imported game licenses were released! A total of 1416 licenses have been issued this year, the highest in the past five years.
① A total of 122 domestic games and 13 imported new games were approved today, marking the third consecutive month of simultaneous issuance of domestic and imported game licenses. Major games from Tencent and NetEase received approvals, along with several other publicly listed game companies also achieving gains. ② As of the time of writing, 1,416 new games have obtained licenses this year, the highest total in nearly five years.
Outperforming 92% of stocks within the year! The four major banks have reached a new high again, and this month they have all faced Shareholding reductions by financing clients.
① Today, the stock prices of the four major banks collectively set new historical highs, with an average increase of nearly 47% this year, outperforming 92% of stocks during the same period. ② Excluding new stocks, a total of 10 stocks reached historical highs today, most of which are CNI Mid-Small Cap.Index stocks, with a relatively high number of Transportation stocks. ③ The four major banks have all experienced shareholding reductions by financing clients this month, including the Industrial And Commercial Bank Of China, which has seen a net sell-off of nearly 0.2 billion yuan in financing this month.
KFC is increasing prices, Pizza Hut is decreasing prices, and YUM CHINA continues its ongoing strategy of "sinking".
Sprint to 0.02 million households.
In order to respond to the "intense battle" next year? At the end of the year, many Banks are making intensive adjustments to their Business structure, and the special mechanism for the "five major articles" is gradually being established.
① First, merging the functions of the head office departments clearly indicates a reduction in costs and an increase in efficiency; second, a special department dedicated to the five major articles is being established. ② Retailing Crediting may become one of the focal points for Banks next year. ③ It is expected that the special institutions for the five major articles will be established gradually, as each one matures.
The LPR Quote for December has been released! The 1-year and 5-year rates remain unchanged.
More news, continuously updating.
The central bank's discussions with some "aggressive trading" Institutions have shaken the market; who are the Block Orders in this round of bond bull market? State-owned large banks have received the most "attention".
① The central bank's morning consultations mainly involved Institutions based in Beijing, with very few Institutions from other cities attending the meeting, including cities like Shanghai where asset management Institutions are concentrated. ② In the past two weeks, the Block Buy Institutions for 10-year government bonds have shifted from Fund to Banks. ③ As incremental policies come into effect, the likelihood of economic stabilization increases, necessitating a reduction in expectations for the bond market in 2025.
Interest rates can reach 3%! Small and medium-sized Banks have densely launched high-interest products such as large-denomination certificates of deposit and special deposits. How will the pressure for short-term deposit strategies be relieved in the futu
① Some small and medium-sized Banks have engaged in such behavior, which somewhat contradicts the current downward trend of deposit interest rates, possibly being a short-term strategy taken to meet the funding Indicators in the short term. ② The overall trend of deposit interest rates may continue to decline in the future, and the recent rapid decline in bond market interest rates may also face some adjustments.
Encouraging to "seize the opportunities of moderately loose MMF policy," many local officials are intensively researching local Banks at the end of the year, is a good start for next year to be expected.
① In discussions with local officials, frequently mentioned keywords include comprehensive, accelerated, risk, and servicing the local economy. ② For Financial Institutions, "the moderately loose monetary policy from the central government brings opportunities while also posing challenges." ③ If some mechanisms for due diligence exemption can be provided, it is expected to ease the lending pressure on Banks.
Before the Federal Reserve's decision, the rally of U.S. stocks faltered, the Nasdaq said goodbye to record highs, the Dow fell for nine consecutive days, Broadcom dropped over 4%, Chinese concept stocks rebounded against the trend, and Bitcoin reached a
The Dow Jones has seen its first nine consecutive declines since 1978; NVIDIA has seen four consecutive declines, while Tesla has risen over 3% against the trend, hitting new highs for three consecutive days. Chinese concept stocks rebounded nearly 2%, with PDD Holdings rising nearly 3% and Bilibili increasing over 4%. Salaries in the United Kingdom have grown faster than expected, with two-year UK bond yields rising 10 basis points in one day. The USD has rebounded; the Canadian dollar has hit a more than four-year low since the pandemic; Bitcoin surged over $0.108 million during trading, hitting a new historical high for two consecutive days. Crude Oil Product has fallen for two consecutive days, with US oil dropping more than 2% at one point; Gold has hit a new low for the week.
The interest rates of the same industry certificates of deposit are rapidly declining, and under "moderately loose" conditions, there is hope to drop to 1.30%.
1. After the improvement in MMF transmission efficiency, the CD interest rate and the 7-day OMO rate will integrate within the next year. 2. Due to the faster decline of long-term bonds, the spread between the 10Y government bond and the 1Y CD has been compressing, and is currently at 13BP.
The NASDAQ broke through 0.02 million points for the first time, Tesla led a group of tech giants to a new high, and Bitcoin climbed to 0.1 million dollars
The Dow and Apple fell, the Nasdaq rose nearly 2%, Tesla and Google rose nearly 6%, while Meta, Amazon, and Netflix all reached new highs. NVIDIA rose over 3%, Broadcom rose nearly 7%, Super Micro Computer once dropped over 8%, the decline of Chinese concepts narrowed, and Fangdd Network turned to rise over 11%. The U.S. November CPI confirms interest rate cut bets for next week, with a pause on rate cuts expected in January next year. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded in a V-shape, while spot Gold reached its highest level in five weeks. The yen plunged below 152, while the offshore yuan once dropped over 300 points, falling below 7.29 yuan. After a significant interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada, the Canadian dollar and Canadian bond yields turned to rise, and oil prices increased by about 2%.
China Central Economic Work Conference: A Key Indicator for Future Market Trends
The interest rates for consumer loans at some "2"-tier banks will decrease by 10 basis points again in December, while the lowest interest rate at major banks has already dropped by 50 basis points this year.
① The consumer loan products promoted by banks with extremely low interest rates are mostly aimed at high-quality customers, so it is important for customers to pay attention to the actual interest rate level when applying, and then decide whether to borrow. ② The reduction in personal consumer loan interest rates helps to lower the costs for holders of consumer crediting, promoting demand for consumer crediting, and thus driving consumption.
Tonight, Chinese concepts soared! The nasdaq Golden Dragon index surged by 10%, while fangdd network doubled directly.
Some analysis indicates that the Political Bureau meeting first mentioned stabilizing the stock and real estate markets, and the US stock market quickly rallied on china assets. The 3x Long FTSE china etf surged over 26%, the 2x Long china internet plus-related stocks rose over 22%, the 2x Long FTSE china 50 ETF increased over 17%, and the 2x Long 300etf gained nearly 15%.
China Will Adopt a "Moderately Accommodative" Monetary Policy in the Next Year, The First Shift to Easing Since 2011
As the year-end approaches, many banks are warning about the "standard usage of credit cards" and will periodically take control measures against abnormal customers.
Since late November, more than ten banks have intensively issued reminders about the "standard use of credit cards," including several national commercial banks and many local small and medium-sized banks; on December 6, Qilu Bank issued a reminder that consumers must not rent or lend their credit cards, and it is prohibited for others to make repayments on their behalf, "irregular control will be implemented on abnormal customers."
The gaming industry will welcome two major conferences! Representatives from dozens of gaming companies will share the stage to discuss topics such as 2D, AI, overseas expansion, and casual games.
As the year-end approaches, the Beijing Shougang International Exhibition Center will host two major annual events in the gaming industry: the 2024 China eSports Industry Annual Conference will be held on December 10-11; the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference will take place on December 12-13. Representatives from listed gaming companies including Tencent, netease, 37 interactive entertainment network technology group, special treat Huatuo, and kingnet network will attend and will share insights on topics such as eSports, game AI, and overseas expansion.
Yum China Entered Into Share Repurchase Agreements In The U.S. And Hong Kong For An Aggregate Repurchase Amount Of ~$360M For 1H 2025, Commencing On January 6, 2025